WEBVTT

00:00:05.918 --> 00:00:09.679
Welcome to the Betcast Ledger.

00:00:11.099 --> 00:00:21.762
We're back again, another week, another episode, and most importantly, another report.

00:00:22.403 --> 00:00:24.463
Oh yeah, we got a good one today.

00:00:25.704 --> 00:00:34.026
Really are trying to make these reports valuable and give you something interesting, give you something that maybe you didn't know,

00:00:35.314 --> 00:00:47.583
in regards to sports data, sports tracking, in particular to podcast host and all their lovely picks, which is what we do here.

00:00:49.024 --> 00:01:01.032
Data tracking, tracking those bets across the podcast ecosystem, across the podcast, the sports gambling podcast universe.

00:01:02.693 --> 00:01:04.054
We're tracking all those picks.

00:01:04.354 --> 00:01:05.495
Then you say, why?

00:01:06.175 --> 00:01:06.616
Why?

00:01:06.876 --> 00:01:09.298
Because we want that data.

00:01:10.359 --> 00:01:19.286
We want those picks to help us and guide us to making better sports gambling choices.

00:01:20.187 --> 00:01:22.289
So the picks are information.

00:01:23.930 --> 00:01:25.291
That's why we want those picks.

00:01:25.952 --> 00:01:28.774
And we do a heck of a job trying to validate those.

00:01:30.155 --> 00:01:31.336
And I know I've said this before.

00:01:32.237 --> 00:01:33.658
I know I've gone into this spiel.

00:01:34.102 --> 00:01:35.303
But hey, I'm growing.

00:01:36.183 --> 00:01:44.788
We have a very young, sort of not young in age, but young in sort of time of an audience.

00:01:46.049 --> 00:01:47.870
Maybe we do have some young folks who knows.

00:01:47.950 --> 00:01:51.532
I don't 100% know the demographics.

00:01:52.452 --> 00:02:02.278
I'm just out here trying to have a little bit of fun and bring some value and hopefully for the hard work and value that I bring.

00:02:03.038 --> 00:02:11.623
some of those things would get returned to me in ways to help cover, you know, the ability to bring you this.

00:02:13.183 --> 00:02:17.746
But nonetheless, we want that information.

00:02:19.747 --> 00:02:21.368
We want that data.

00:02:23.049 --> 00:02:29.032
And then as a part of that, we didn't determine if that bet won or lost.

00:02:29.432 --> 00:02:32.654
So not only are we gathering all these picks from

00:02:33.718 --> 00:02:36.840
I mean, a whole host of sports gambling podcast.

00:02:37.580 --> 00:02:47.386
The, the, the net is huge in terms of what we're gathering here and the, the different sports that we're tracking.

00:02:49.207 --> 00:02:55.111
And so not only are we getting all those picks, right?

00:02:55.151 --> 00:03:00.854
Most importantly, then we're telling you if they want a loss and that data is also important.

00:03:01.506 --> 00:03:08.729
Because that allows you to make decisions of, hey, are those picks really good?

00:03:08.849 --> 00:03:10.810
Or are those picks really hitting?

00:03:12.410 --> 00:03:16.812
Because like I've always said, it's fun to gamble.

00:03:17.673 --> 00:03:19.133
But most importantly, you want to make money.

00:03:19.973 --> 00:03:21.194
That's why you gamble in stocks.

00:03:21.334 --> 00:03:22.835
That's why you gamble in crypto.

00:03:24.495 --> 00:03:25.956
That's mostly why you gamble in sports.

00:03:25.976 --> 00:03:27.236
That's why you get a lotto ticket.

00:03:27.276 --> 00:03:31.018
It's a gamble, maybe not the best

00:03:32.134 --> 00:03:41.938
gamble I would advise, although every blue moon, I buy a lotto ticket, every blue moon, I can't actually, the last, I don't think I've bought a lotto ticket in 2026.

00:03:41.998 --> 00:03:47.320
Nonetheless, if you count a 10 leg parlay as a lotto ticket, then yeah, I've gotten a few of those.

00:03:49.321 --> 00:03:55.303
Gotten a few of those, but the information is key.

00:03:56.724 --> 00:04:01.586
And that's why I am very excited when I get on

00:04:02.070 --> 00:04:02.570
to the mic.

00:04:04.551 --> 00:04:07.073
It was a, it was an interact.

00:04:07.093 --> 00:04:15.157
Like I said, I didn't know if I was going to do, I didn't start Betcast with the endeavors of starting a podcast.

00:04:15.197 --> 00:04:19.840
A podcast never was a part of the equation for Betcast.

00:04:19.880 --> 00:04:25.043
What was a part of the equation was getting a product out there that was valuable.

00:04:25.823 --> 00:04:30.206
And most importantly, a product that I loved and used

00:04:31.166 --> 00:04:32.127
and was valuable to me.

00:04:32.547 --> 00:04:43.013
It had to be valuable to me first, because I went down this road of creating a lot of projects, having app ideas and all kind of stuff.

00:04:43.033 --> 00:04:47.135
But then it never even connected with me.

00:04:47.875 --> 00:04:50.077
So what was I building?

00:04:50.797 --> 00:04:55.560
At the end of the day, it had to connect with me.

00:04:55.620 --> 00:04:59.442
Now, there's all kind of different entrepreneurs or mindsets.

00:05:01.410 --> 00:05:09.593
You know, some people can just spit out a whole bunch of products that don't mean anything to them and maybe one of them could be successful and then they run with that.

00:05:11.134 --> 00:05:11.814
I tried that.

00:05:12.775 --> 00:05:23.159
You know, I, for me personally, I have to feel connected to the project, to the endeavor in some way.

00:05:23.299 --> 00:05:25.880
It has to hit me, it has to connect with me.

00:05:25.960 --> 00:05:30.282
I have to love it, be passionate about it in some degree.

00:05:30.794 --> 00:05:39.040
for something to, for me to really care about and grow in nature and nurture.

00:05:39.440 --> 00:05:43.403
That's why I actually meant this, I meant to say and nurture something.

00:05:46.224 --> 00:05:49.667
And that's how we got here.

00:05:50.908 --> 00:05:53.449
Hello to all of you and thanks for listening.

00:05:55.591 --> 00:06:00.114
Before I forget, yes, email me, please, joe at Betcast,

00:06:00.466 --> 00:06:02.067
AI.com.

00:06:02.948 --> 00:06:06.891
Check me out on X. Joe from Betcast.

00:06:08.512 --> 00:06:08.972
Look for me.

00:06:10.853 --> 00:06:11.394
You'll find me.

00:06:11.414 --> 00:06:11.954
I'm out there.

00:06:12.414 --> 00:06:14.116
I don't have a huge follow.

00:06:14.136 --> 00:06:21.041
I'm getting some followers as I continue to engage and operate on X. I love, I love posts.

00:06:21.061 --> 00:06:21.981
It's, it's a lot of fun.

00:06:22.261 --> 00:06:24.103
It's, it's kind of my favorite social media.

00:06:24.123 --> 00:06:25.684
It's just, I like it.

00:06:25.704 --> 00:06:28.546
It's a fun outlet and um,

00:06:30.770 --> 00:06:34.973
I am just trying to put good stuff out there.

00:06:36.393 --> 00:06:37.314
If you like it, great.

00:06:37.834 --> 00:06:41.957
And we'll grow as I should.

00:06:43.237 --> 00:06:52.983
There's no magic button that I can press coming from really no one knowing who I am or what I do or what I'm trying to do.

00:06:54.164 --> 00:06:56.865
So really going from zero, zero,

00:06:58.422 --> 00:07:02.144
That very first podcast I put out, we're talking about crickets.

00:07:02.784 --> 00:07:12.648
I mean, I'll just let my family and for a couple people know, but I don't really do any, I'm not doing any major marketing campaigns or anything like that.

00:07:12.728 --> 00:07:20.751
I'm, I am, I'm not saying I want to grow slowly cause that could be never.

00:07:20.771 --> 00:07:27.274
Uh, but I really want to make sure that I am doing something

00:07:28.514 --> 00:07:40.139
that I care about, that is fun to me, that is interesting, and then most importantly, beneficial in this arena of sports gambling.

00:07:41.799 --> 00:07:44.721
Okay, yeah, I'm not changing the world here.

00:07:44.761 --> 00:07:51.984
I'm not fixing global warming or solving the conflict in Gaza.

00:07:54.885 --> 00:07:57.406
Although maybe one day I could venture there, who knows?

00:07:58.294 --> 00:08:06.396
But this, this, Betcast, the Betcast Ledger, it's about sports gambling.

00:08:07.156 --> 00:08:08.597
It's about sports tracking.

00:08:09.217 --> 00:08:11.578
It's about data processing.

00:08:13.498 --> 00:08:15.239
It's about making sense of the numbers.

00:08:17.059 --> 00:08:28.162
It's about allowing the numbers to help you, myself, make better sense of a pick or a bet.

00:08:28.426 --> 00:08:29.507
I'm learning as we go.

00:08:30.027 --> 00:08:31.908
I'm learning as we go.

00:08:31.948 --> 00:08:32.668
And it's fun.

00:08:32.928 --> 00:08:33.789
It's fun to learn.

00:08:35.570 --> 00:08:36.330
It's fun to learn.

00:08:40.993 --> 00:08:47.937
So yeah, check it out, betcastai.com.

00:08:48.077 --> 00:08:57.822
This podcast is about promoting the data reports that the system delivers that I

00:08:58.450 --> 00:09:01.171
derived from looking at the data.

00:09:03.151 --> 00:09:04.492
And there's a lot you can do on there.

00:09:04.532 --> 00:09:06.112
You can generate cards.

00:09:08.733 --> 00:09:12.454
I have something that I'm excited to show.

00:09:12.594 --> 00:09:17.275
I probably won't show it, but I'll talk more about it probably next week.

00:09:17.295 --> 00:09:19.376
But it's called Betcast Scout.

00:09:19.496 --> 00:09:25.798
And it's going to be more of a chat-like interaction that you can have with a validated

00:09:26.450 --> 00:09:26.790
data.

00:09:26.970 --> 00:09:32.574
As of right now, the only entry point into the validated picks is generating a card.

00:09:33.815 --> 00:09:52.686
And hey, as much as I love the card generation, I'm starting to realize as I use the application, as I want to bring value out of the application, I'm starting to realize that I want more specific data in terms of a pick, in terms of a podcast, in terms of a game, in terms of a market.

00:09:53.310 --> 00:09:56.894
And the car generation just doesn't quite give me that.

00:09:58.175 --> 00:10:02.679
It gives me some good information about a particular sport or a host of sports.

00:10:05.081 --> 00:10:10.847
But it's lacking in terms of like, I want information about this one game.

00:10:11.267 --> 00:10:15.851
I want information about this one game in this one market.

00:10:16.312 --> 00:10:18.734
What is the podcast data telling me about that?

00:10:20.730 --> 00:10:22.951
How many episodes support that?

00:10:23.831 --> 00:10:25.491
How many episodes are against it?

00:10:25.591 --> 00:10:32.713
Then I can start making even better decisions about the consensus, about a cluster, about the information.

00:10:35.254 --> 00:10:38.135
So that's called Betcast Scout.

00:10:40.335 --> 00:10:45.497
So far, a couple of beta testers are using it, and I hope I get some feedback.

00:10:46.597 --> 00:10:50.378
But again, it's in beta, and I'm hoping to make it a part of the

00:10:51.622 --> 00:10:55.364
a part of the feature list for paid subscribers.

00:10:58.626 --> 00:11:10.974
But before I get to off, off the tangent here, cause I can't, I will tang.

00:11:11.814 --> 00:11:12.635
I'll tang.

00:11:13.615 --> 00:11:15.116
And before you know it, it's an hour.

00:11:15.176 --> 00:11:18.278
I'm like, we just came here to talk about the report.

00:11:21.194 --> 00:11:25.115
But that's what BetCance is about.

00:11:25.135 --> 00:11:25.875
That's what I'm about.

00:11:26.015 --> 00:11:29.616
That's what I am trying to do.

00:11:29.856 --> 00:11:35.918
And I want it to be interesting and valuable.

00:11:36.338 --> 00:11:37.078
That's important.

00:11:38.479 --> 00:11:49.882
And the way that I help achieve that goal is by using it myself, whether

00:11:50.450 --> 00:11:52.852
I use the UI or whether I use the data.

00:11:53.352 --> 00:12:02.979
If I find the data valuable as someone who likes to gamble on sports, I want to give that to you.

00:12:04.099 --> 00:12:05.600
Cause I know you like to do it too.

00:12:07.021 --> 00:12:07.922
We like to do it.

00:12:08.562 --> 00:12:09.503
We like to hit.

00:12:13.966 --> 00:12:19.330
And so let's all

00:12:20.266 --> 00:12:21.607
together, who knows?

00:12:23.428 --> 00:12:24.089
Be profitable.

00:12:24.769 --> 00:12:28.652
And if not, we can look and see like what's profitable, what's not profitable.

00:12:31.334 --> 00:12:33.035
I don't see a problem with that.

00:12:34.256 --> 00:12:37.118
I don't see any issues with that.

00:12:39.640 --> 00:12:43.082
You don't have to follow every little detail.

00:12:45.024 --> 00:12:47.986
If you have discretionary funds and you like

00:12:48.310 --> 00:12:49.331
putting it on a stock.

00:12:49.671 --> 00:12:53.835
You don't have to know everything about that company for you to be profitable.

00:12:55.936 --> 00:12:59.920
A lot of people get information, insider information, outsider information.

00:13:01.981 --> 00:13:03.603
So I'm bringing the information.

00:13:03.783 --> 00:13:09.127
I'm the window into a new set of data to help you make a decision.

00:13:09.628 --> 00:13:12.851
It's not, well, it's not new with podcasts have always been given picks.

00:13:13.171 --> 00:13:13.952
So that's not new.

00:13:14.172 --> 00:13:16.794
What's new is the,

00:13:17.354 --> 00:13:23.057
swath of information that we're bringing together, centralizing it.

00:13:25.919 --> 00:13:30.081
Centralizing all that information and trying to provide context.

00:13:30.302 --> 00:13:31.522
That's what this report is about.

00:13:32.383 --> 00:13:35.124
And we'll get into that here in a second.

00:13:35.144 --> 00:13:44.890
But first, as always, each episode, we're going to look

00:13:47.314 --> 00:13:47.935
at the count.

00:13:48.555 --> 00:13:49.796
We got to look at the count.

00:13:52.298 --> 00:13:56.041
I won't spend too much time, but hey, we're, we're almost at 40,000.

00:13:57.342 --> 00:13:59.423
Almost at 40,000 picks, baby.

00:14:00.544 --> 00:14:07.550
I'm gonna do something that 50 K every 50 K. I'm gonna do something.

00:14:07.570 --> 00:14:10.852
I don't know what that something is, but I'm gonna do it.

00:14:10.872 --> 00:14:12.674
40,

00:14:13.995 --> 00:14:18.159
almost 39,795 to be exact.

00:14:20.981 --> 00:14:26.507
All right, that's about four and a half picks per extracted episode.

00:14:26.527 --> 00:14:29.169
So every episode we're getting almost four and a half picks.

00:14:31.492 --> 00:14:33.453
Four and a half picks.

00:14:34.655 --> 00:14:35.055
All right.

00:14:35.736 --> 00:14:37.998
So again, check it out.

00:14:39.038 --> 00:15:04.790
if you go to betcastai.com you'll see the count on the homepage if you haven't created a betcast account in order to be able to log in or you can just go straight to the to the count page betcastai.com slash count okay you can kind of see see what we're doing I want to be transparent I want to

00:15:08.458 --> 00:15:25.428
let the awesome people that care about this or that are tuning in or that are subscribed or that are just interested in getting information, I want you to have what I have and track what I'm tracking.

00:15:25.448 --> 00:15:29.771
And this is sort of a high level, like, hey, here's all the picks we're looking at.

00:15:30.291 --> 00:15:31.332
Here's what we validated.

00:15:31.652 --> 00:15:32.612
Here's what we settled.

00:15:33.393 --> 00:15:35.254
Here's some of the futures and here's why.

00:15:35.722 --> 00:15:40.065
We haven't settled some picks, or here's why some picks aren't validated.

00:15:40.145 --> 00:15:50.673
And look, I'm constantly making the system better, so these numbers will constantly change.

00:15:50.793 --> 00:16:02.181
And one other point, too, is if you're a podcast host and you see a profile, I want to just be accurate.

00:16:03.766 --> 00:16:09.408
whenever you're dealing with this much data and you're dealing with a lot of automated processing, it's not going to be perfect.

00:16:09.948 --> 00:16:13.389
There will be some things that may get settled incorrectly.

00:16:15.329 --> 00:16:22.951
I'm doing a great job of not, you know, of not validating some pics.

00:16:23.011 --> 00:16:26.872
So that that is something that's actually working.

00:16:27.512 --> 00:16:32.314
We just I just got to get a better way to triage in those those particular pics.

00:16:33.234 --> 00:16:33.394
But

00:16:34.698 --> 00:16:48.549
I just want to give a shout out to like just when that's baby, uh, I've been communicating with them behind the scenes and, and, um, and I, I want to make sure that they know that I'm open.

00:16:49.370 --> 00:16:53.313
If, if there's any dispute about any picks, please let me know.

00:16:53.333 --> 00:17:01.180
Um, I sent them an email of, of, of a report of some picks that we were tracking with the quotes with the settlements.

00:17:02.441 --> 00:17:03.602
Um, so.

00:17:03.986 --> 00:17:10.609
I can give that to any podcast host if there's a pick that I might have missed.

00:17:11.009 --> 00:17:16.111
And then I can kind of look into, maybe there was a particular bug in that settlement query.

00:17:18.392 --> 00:17:22.053
Or maybe there was, maybe we got the wrong game.

00:17:22.073 --> 00:17:23.434
There's lots of things that could have happened.

00:17:23.454 --> 00:17:32.177
So I wanna make sure, and it's a part of the, if Betcast had a mission statement, it'd be like, it'd say,

00:17:34.126 --> 00:17:45.435
accurate tracking information that is there for everyone to see.

00:17:47.157 --> 00:17:49.158
Man, I really messed up that mission statement.

00:17:52.381 --> 00:17:53.462
I got a workshop.

00:17:54.403 --> 00:17:58.166
I tried to freestyle a mission statement and it went poorly.

00:17:59.687 --> 00:18:03.470
But yeah.

00:18:03.870 --> 00:18:05.011
Almost 40,000 picks.

00:18:06.092 --> 00:18:06.512
That's it.

00:18:08.214 --> 00:18:11.116
Now, let's see here.

00:18:12.697 --> 00:18:13.218
What do we got?

00:18:13.358 --> 00:18:15.600
Oh, yeah.

00:18:16.400 --> 00:18:25.748
Just to kind of reiterate, email me.

00:18:25.788 --> 00:18:33.254
Reach out to me on Twitter if there's something that is missing or if I got a pick wrong or if the system got a pick wrong.

00:18:34.478 --> 00:18:53.126
or maybe it's not tracking, because I have, now I will say this, I have got an email and I had a, this was a while ago, I had to actually fix some of the processing around the transcripts to open up getting and tracking particular bets.

00:18:53.526 --> 00:18:59.389
I had a clamp on what I was actually tracking, which I removed.

00:19:00.669 --> 00:19:01.830
And from that point forth,

00:19:02.494 --> 00:19:04.455
haven't heard that there's been any issues there.

00:19:05.896 --> 00:19:10.679
But yeah, I'm just trying to get, look, I'm just trying to get it right, because I want to get it right for myself.

00:19:11.099 --> 00:19:16.722
I don't want to, I don't want to say a podcast is number one, number two, and I'm like, and the whole record is messed up.

00:19:17.402 --> 00:19:19.663
So yeah, I'm dealing with a lot of data over here.

00:19:20.504 --> 00:19:22.465
Some of it is being done automatically.

00:19:22.825 --> 00:19:24.646
Some of it requires mainly review.

00:19:26.427 --> 00:19:27.588
It's not going to be perfect.

00:19:29.309 --> 00:19:31.390
But we're going to strive, we're going to pursue.

00:19:32.566 --> 00:19:33.046
That's right.

00:19:35.088 --> 00:19:36.028
We're going to do our best.

00:19:37.729 --> 00:19:38.349
Our very best.

00:19:38.409 --> 00:19:39.010
I promise you.

00:19:40.251 --> 00:19:40.451
All right.

00:19:40.471 --> 00:19:41.271
Let's get into this report.

00:19:43.733 --> 00:19:49.156
Let's get into this report.

00:19:52.478 --> 00:19:53.699
The headline.

00:19:57.321 --> 00:19:59.062
The headline in this report is

00:20:02.742 --> 00:20:08.524
the podcast ecosystem, the podcast data overall.

00:20:09.384 --> 00:20:23.188
When you look at decisions, when you look at number of picks and when you look at the Ren, uh, the win rate, it's not good.

00:20:24.388 --> 00:20:25.488
It's not good.

00:20:26.149 --> 00:20:30.610
That's just a bottle high level overall.

00:20:33.234 --> 00:20:34.775
what was captured for the week.

00:20:36.817 --> 00:20:39.980
Let me zoom in a little bit for the YouTube feed.

00:20:41.421 --> 00:20:44.564
Yes, check out the YouTube feed, Betcast.

00:20:47.326 --> 00:20:48.287
Betcast AI.

00:20:51.670 --> 00:21:01.338
But when you look at everything from a high, high level between

00:21:02.030 --> 00:21:06.912
September 14th and September 20th, it's not good.

00:21:07.492 --> 00:21:09.313
And there's nobody to blame.

00:21:10.034 --> 00:21:13.755
It's just that you got a lot of picks wrong.

00:21:14.516 --> 00:21:22.179
You got a lot of picks, not just one, a lot of where the wind was blowing.

00:21:22.339 --> 00:21:29.102
Let's say where there was a beehive, where there was lots of honey, lots of bees.

00:21:31.094 --> 00:21:38.500
that branch got chopped down and that brought down the performance.

00:21:38.980 --> 00:21:39.821
But I have faith.

00:21:40.201 --> 00:21:52.270
I have faith in the podcast world that you're going to get it back because some of you individually podcast or sorry, some single shows did great, did great.

00:21:52.290 --> 00:21:53.451
And we're going to look at those here.

00:21:53.831 --> 00:21:57.334
We're going to check those out, give them some shout outs.

00:22:00.778 --> 00:22:06.603
but as a whole, not very good.

00:22:07.024 --> 00:22:10.106
As you can see here, maybe I'll zoom in just a one more.

00:22:10.807 --> 00:22:21.897
As you can see here, had a 46.8% win rate.

00:22:22.738 --> 00:22:26.461
That's, that's not profitable.

00:22:26.781 --> 00:22:27.502
Let's put it like that.

00:22:27.746 --> 00:22:28.767
That's across 145 shows.

00:22:28.787 --> 00:22:34.091
So for this week's slice, 145 different podcasts produced 2,425 picks and it yielded 1,134 correct picks at a 50

00:22:58.794 --> 00:23:05.397
No, sorry, 46.8% win rate.

00:23:08.298 --> 00:23:17.562
So higher level, you haven't quite as a group performed well and that's okay.

00:23:18.502 --> 00:23:19.823
It's the first week of football.

00:23:22.544 --> 00:23:26.866
Maybe there's some misalignment, some misjudgment, some bad information,

00:23:28.094 --> 00:23:34.178
Whatever the case may be, the gut just wasn't right or it's a new year, things are crazy.

00:23:36.579 --> 00:23:41.642
But I'm hoping by week or the coming weeks, we can get a little bit better.

00:23:41.662 --> 00:23:45.564
But again, not all bad, not all bad as a whole bad.

00:23:45.884 --> 00:23:51.307
But if you kind of peel in there, if you kind of look in there, which we're going to do.

00:23:55.029 --> 00:23:55.970
We'll see some positive.

00:23:56.490 --> 00:23:58.131
And I'll point that out.

00:23:59.392 --> 00:24:03.275
But first stop, just a kind of clean split here.

00:24:04.076 --> 00:24:08.059
We had NFL specifically.

00:24:08.179 --> 00:24:10.480
Now this is a reminder.

00:24:10.841 --> 00:24:11.981
This is not just NFL.

00:24:12.001 --> 00:24:14.804
This is NFL and college football.

00:24:15.784 --> 00:24:21.308
So 2,425 picks across both NFL and college football.

00:24:21.969 --> 00:24:23.270
And the split was

00:24:27.458 --> 00:24:29.579
Pretty interesting.

00:24:29.679 --> 00:24:33.501
44.5% NFL win rate, if you just split it down.

00:24:37.122 --> 00:24:40.083
They had about similar amount of decisions.

00:24:40.263 --> 00:24:41.844
College football had a thousand decisions.

00:24:42.945 --> 00:24:44.685
NFL had 1,425.

00:24:44.925 --> 00:24:49.667
So just four, you know, about 500 more, 400 more decisions.

00:24:50.808 --> 00:24:52.989
But college football broke even.

00:24:53.609 --> 00:24:55.350
I mean, you didn't break even with money.

00:24:55.774 --> 00:25:25.614
I'm saying the percentage itself is 50% because it should be noted that you got to actually go a little bit above 50% for it to actually be profitable over time because you're going to have to pay a little bit more in order to actually win.

00:25:26.378 --> 00:25:30.020
So that percentage goes up if you actually want to break even.

00:25:32.521 --> 00:25:32.822
All right.

00:25:34.262 --> 00:25:41.226
But nonetheless, that's the percentages between NFL and college football.

00:25:41.807 --> 00:25:42.207
Now.

00:25:45.189 --> 00:25:47.390
Now, let's look into the markets here.

00:25:54.474 --> 00:25:54.714
Yes.

00:25:55.742 --> 00:26:00.386
Now we're getting to the individual markets for each.

00:26:00.666 --> 00:26:05.750
So we broke it down into the two big markets.

00:26:05.850 --> 00:26:07.051
We're not looking at props here.

00:26:07.071 --> 00:26:09.513
We're just looking at totals and spreads.

00:26:11.215 --> 00:26:12.355
Totals and spreads.

00:26:12.375 --> 00:26:13.296
That's where we got a lot of data.

00:26:13.556 --> 00:26:18.961
We got a lot of data for totals and spreads.

00:26:21.183 --> 00:26:25.166
So if you look at the win percentages,

00:26:27.026 --> 00:26:44.276
You would have made money if you bet or followed or should say the podcast sports gambling conglomerate, they would have made or they made money on totals.

00:26:44.956 --> 00:26:45.997
They went 94 and 74, 168 decisions.

00:26:46.057 --> 00:26:46.377
That's 56%.

00:26:46.417 --> 00:26:47.938
So from a total standpoint,

00:26:56.546 --> 00:26:57.146
You're doing good.

00:26:57.166 --> 00:26:58.927
So again, what does that tell you?

00:26:59.107 --> 00:26:59.808
What does that tell me?

00:26:59.828 --> 00:27:00.969
What does that tell us?

00:27:02.309 --> 00:27:12.615
It tells us that there's more profitable plays in the totals market, specifically the NFL totals market.

00:27:12.635 --> 00:27:13.316
That could change.

00:27:13.656 --> 00:27:16.077
That's just, this is just, look, again, a small slice.

00:27:16.778 --> 00:27:18.859
You can become a subscriber.

00:27:19.999 --> 00:27:24.322
You can log in and you can use the Explorer and you can,

00:27:26.566 --> 00:27:30.949
change the size to a larger sample size.

00:27:31.569 --> 00:27:37.313
But this is just a weekly report that we're looking at this particular week between the 14th and the 20th.

00:27:39.335 --> 00:27:55.726
Of course, when we get to certain parts of the season, which would be the, that had to be the most fun, we'll do a look back over a larger sample size, and then we can say, then we can make some even more definitive conclusions.

00:27:57.142 --> 00:28:04.544
But right now the most profitable plays are NFL totals.

00:28:05.144 --> 00:28:09.906
The least profitable plays are NFL spreads.

00:28:11.666 --> 00:28:13.086
That went 45.9%.

00:28:16.547 --> 00:28:23.689
So ironically at the top we got the NFL totals and at the bottom we got the NFL spreads.

00:28:25.630 --> 00:28:25.830
So

00:28:28.158 --> 00:28:33.302
That tells me be weary about the spreads.

00:28:33.663 --> 00:28:37.906
If I'm going to do a spread bet, I'm going to do some extra research.

00:28:39.347 --> 00:28:42.090
I'm going to look at some prediction models.

00:28:43.371 --> 00:28:49.776
I'm going to look at the sort of price that I got or that I'm given or that I see.

00:28:51.257 --> 00:28:57.122
And I'm really going to dig down to make a decision on a spread.

00:28:57.954 --> 00:28:59.895
Because, again, not profitable.

00:29:01.115 --> 00:29:01.995
Not profitable now.

00:29:04.696 --> 00:29:06.156
This is where things get a little bit interesting.

00:29:06.196 --> 00:29:07.397
Let me zoom out here.

00:29:09.437 --> 00:29:17.599
So if you kind of look at everything, because I saw this data, obviously, before producing this report.

00:29:19.680 --> 00:29:25.621
And when I looked at it, I was like, OK.

00:29:28.062 --> 00:29:31.283
Yeah, overall, that was the win percentage.

00:29:31.303 --> 00:29:31.764
Not good.

00:29:32.864 --> 00:29:40.167
But I was wondering what contributed to the bad performance.

00:29:40.968 --> 00:29:41.808
What contributed?

00:29:42.688 --> 00:29:45.369
So I had the system.

00:29:46.870 --> 00:29:48.171
We dug a little bit deeper.

00:29:49.291 --> 00:29:55.954
And I wanted to know the top 10 picks that

00:29:58.366 --> 00:30:01.828
made or broke the record, the win rate.

00:30:02.609 --> 00:30:05.910
And most importantly, it wasn't about just the top 10 picks.

00:30:06.071 --> 00:30:10.413
I wanted to know the top 10 picks that had the most support.

00:30:12.334 --> 00:30:13.034
That's the key.

00:30:15.176 --> 00:30:22.180
Top 10 picks that had the most podcast support.

00:30:22.960 --> 00:30:24.421
How did those picks perform?

00:30:24.841 --> 00:30:26.202
How did those picks settle?

00:30:28.330 --> 00:30:51.036
Cause that tells you a lot that tells you exactly sort of sometimes, or it kind of expresses this thought that look, sometimes when there's a huge cluster somewhere, we want to know is everybody right or is everybody wrong?

00:30:53.377 --> 00:30:57.058
So as we get back into it, the number one,

00:31:03.547 --> 00:31:10.311
that really brought down the house was the Houston, Texas minus two and a half.

00:31:10.351 --> 00:31:12.452
It also brought down my house.

00:31:15.534 --> 00:31:21.537
Uh, I went with the, I went with the cluster here and I got burned.

00:31:21.657 --> 00:31:22.138
It's okay.

00:31:22.758 --> 00:31:23.158
It's okay.

00:31:23.178 --> 00:31:26.680
Hey, the idea is that you're profitable over time.

00:31:26.700 --> 00:31:27.781
You're going to have some losses.

00:31:28.101 --> 00:31:29.742
And this was a big one because

00:31:31.218 --> 00:31:58.954
as you can see there was a huge cluster around the Texans covering against the Bengals and I thought coming off that really tough loss they look it looked pretty good I mean they had a chance to beat that Buffalo team that everybody thinks is going to the Super Bowl and I thought that they you know being at home with that defense I thought that we're gonna

00:31:59.958 --> 00:32:03.859
That seemed like a good, my gut agreed with it.

00:32:05.360 --> 00:32:07.660
Nonetheless, we see what happens.

00:32:08.480 --> 00:32:25.165
So if we look at this, and we won't go through every single one, but if you kind of take a look at the top 10 most supported picks, look, only three, only three of them won.

00:32:25.505 --> 00:32:26.586
Every other,

00:32:28.950 --> 00:32:30.951
Top 10 supported pick lost.

00:32:34.412 --> 00:32:34.992
It lost.

00:32:37.172 --> 00:32:39.953
It goes the, the, the jets money line loss.

00:32:45.995 --> 00:32:49.996
The Denver Broncos to cover loss.

00:32:54.378 --> 00:32:55.238
The Cowboys.

00:32:59.566 --> 00:33:00.046
loss.

00:33:04.689 --> 00:33:06.431
I mean, speaking of that game, wow.

00:33:07.371 --> 00:33:11.314
Look how one week the Cowboys couldn't cover.

00:33:11.934 --> 00:33:16.777
As a matter of fact, lost to the giants and now the giant season is over based off what happened.

00:33:16.937 --> 00:33:22.381
Unless Winston can, can Jamis start Jamison it up?

00:33:23.242 --> 00:33:23.782
I don't know.

00:33:25.962 --> 00:33:29.904
These are, these are the picks that cost the podcast ecosystem this week.

00:33:31.224 --> 00:33:33.765
The Broncos money line, the bucks.

00:33:33.985 --> 00:33:37.787
Whoa.

00:33:37.887 --> 00:33:40.388
16 shows were on the books to cover.

00:33:40.428 --> 00:33:43.469
They were minus eight and a half.

00:33:44.409 --> 00:33:44.750
Okay.

00:33:45.410 --> 00:33:45.890
Wow.

00:33:45.970 --> 00:33:46.910
And they lost.

00:33:48.291 --> 00:33:49.892
I mean, not that they didn't cover.

00:33:50.232 --> 00:33:51.472
They lost.

00:33:53.573 --> 00:33:54.413
Talk about a shocker.

00:33:54.453 --> 00:33:55.574
I actually had the bucks.

00:33:56.278 --> 00:34:00.520
and a money line that I had them in a leg of a money line parlay.

00:34:02.040 --> 00:34:02.641
Terrible.

00:34:04.221 --> 00:34:04.762
Terrible.

00:34:04.862 --> 00:34:07.082
I had, I had the bucks.

00:34:08.803 --> 00:34:19.848
I had the Texans and a money line parlay just, just not good.

00:34:21.729 --> 00:34:24.810
Games that I thought they were going to know, not to mention,

00:34:26.634 --> 00:34:50.804
This was, this was a, see, I love the Ravens and I had this also in a money line parlay and they lost, but I saw that it was a lot of consensus that the saints could cover, but I didn't want to, that was one of my heart picks because I don't want to, I can't put money on my Ravens to not do well.

00:34:51.344 --> 00:34:55.206
So that's why I got to, I got to pick bets that I can like,

00:34:55.490 --> 00:35:03.532
Prop bets or if I think they'll cover cover but I'll if I think they'll just barely win I'm not gonna I'm not gonna put money on the Night.

00:35:03.552 --> 00:35:04.512
See I'm not there yet.

00:35:04.993 --> 00:35:08.914
I don't have that much disgust Yet, but that loss was ugly.

00:35:09.394 --> 00:35:24.498
Whoo And so if you kind of look at the numbers here You can see that out of the top ten picks They had a win percentage of

00:35:25.550 --> 00:35:26.830
6.9%.

00:35:26.870 --> 00:35:27.911
So not even 30%.

00:35:27.931 --> 00:35:33.152
Like I said, they only hit three out of these 10.

00:35:36.233 --> 00:35:43.075
And so that's what we're looking at at a high level.

00:35:45.456 --> 00:35:49.437
These, these clusters just didn't do well, which I don't think will always be the case.

00:35:50.758 --> 00:35:51.918
It was just one of those weeks.

00:35:54.870 --> 00:36:00.612
But where the bright spot lays, as we talked about here at the top of the report is the totals.

00:36:01.592 --> 00:36:05.493
The totals had a profitable win rate.

00:36:05.893 --> 00:36:12.735
And then when you look at the five most supported totals, only one lost.

00:36:14.235 --> 00:36:21.577
So that's the type of numbers you want to see when there's a cluster around a pick coming from a reliable source like the podcast ecosystem.

00:36:23.098 --> 00:36:24.378
Because, you know, I,

00:36:24.926 --> 00:36:27.067
I trust you on the forefront.

00:36:27.888 --> 00:36:29.949
As I've said before, you're doing all the research.

00:36:30.230 --> 00:36:30.710
You're in it.

00:36:30.830 --> 00:36:36.034
You're in the business of getting this data.

00:36:36.654 --> 00:36:42.718
You are someone might say professionals and you're teaching us.

00:36:43.739 --> 00:36:44.539
So I trust in it.

00:36:44.819 --> 00:36:47.001
And this will happens when you do trust in it.

00:36:49.242 --> 00:36:54.386
The top supported, for example, Broncos chiefs under boom,

00:36:57.546 --> 00:37:21.734
Like I said, when, when, when top five, the only loss was the Minnesota Vikings and bears, which maybe we should have saw that one coming with the rain, but nobody, I mean, considering that Ben Johnson wants to be the highest scoring offense ever, that game just was a slugfest.

00:37:22.694 --> 00:37:22.934
So,

00:37:28.150 --> 00:37:29.251
That's what we're looking at here.

00:37:30.292 --> 00:37:33.315
Um, totals did great.

00:37:35.637 --> 00:37:40.301
And just a little quick peek into the confidence.

00:37:41.342 --> 00:37:45.146
Um, the high confident labeled picks are not doing well.

00:37:46.847 --> 00:37:53.714
That kind of goes into the overall, um, theme here, but

00:37:57.366 --> 00:37:58.507
to the next bright spot.

00:37:59.648 --> 00:38:01.189
So again, bright spot in totals.

00:38:03.630 --> 00:38:18.560
And then we have a, I want to recognize five podcasts here that within this sample size really performed well and deserves a shout out and deserves recognition.

00:38:18.820 --> 00:38:21.642
Whatever the little bit of recognition I can give

00:38:24.802 --> 00:38:26.303
has to go to these five podcasts.

00:38:26.323 --> 00:38:27.484
That's Tarp Sports.

00:38:29.125 --> 00:38:31.747
They went nine and two, 81.8%.

00:38:32.147 --> 00:38:38.231
Bear Bets, a Fox Sports gambling show, 76%, 19 and six.

00:38:39.972 --> 00:38:42.954
Dan Patrick takes a gamble.

00:38:43.515 --> 00:38:48.118
Extra shout out to them because they recognized my X post.

00:38:49.459 --> 00:38:51.180
They quoted it.

00:38:52.821 --> 00:38:53.361
I love it.

00:38:53.802 --> 00:38:54.302
Thank you.

00:38:55.742 --> 00:38:57.123
Dan Patrick takes a gamble.

00:38:57.223 --> 00:38:58.223
Give me a shout out.

00:39:00.504 --> 00:39:03.785
We're here tracking the data, providing information.

00:39:04.686 --> 00:39:05.746
So tune in.

00:39:05.946 --> 00:39:10.468
Hey, each week, if you want tune in to say, give me a shout out.

00:39:10.528 --> 00:39:15.350
Say let's tune in to Betcast and see how we're ranking this week.

00:39:17.171 --> 00:39:18.031
Cause you did pretty good.

00:39:18.391 --> 00:39:21.753
14 and five over 19 decisions, 73.7% hit rate, win rate.

00:39:26.970 --> 00:39:29.251
All systems go with Josh Appelbaum.

00:39:30.091 --> 00:39:32.992
Eight and four, 66.7%.

00:39:34.772 --> 00:39:42.134
VSiN college football betting podcast, 17 and nine, 26 decisions.

00:39:42.434 --> 00:39:43.995
That's the 65.4%.

00:39:44.975 --> 00:39:52.997
These podcasts, and see, that's what I wanna be able to give when you're sitting down making a bet.

00:39:53.197 --> 00:39:56.058
I want you to be able to come to Betcast, use Betcast Scout and say, hey,

00:39:56.734 --> 00:40:01.617
What are the validated picks for tarp sports for the NFL slate this week?

00:40:02.317 --> 00:40:03.518
And you can get that information.

00:40:03.918 --> 00:40:04.758
Right now you can.

00:40:06.019 --> 00:40:08.300
Unfortunately, right now you can't.

00:40:08.380 --> 00:40:09.181
It's in beta.

00:40:10.602 --> 00:40:19.086
But right now, the only way that you would get that is if you have to go to the NFL, generate a card, and then look at the sources and see which one came from tarp sports.

00:40:20.967 --> 00:40:25.830
But if I take a quick peek into their account,

00:40:29.334 --> 00:40:31.115
They got an overall profitable win rate.

00:40:31.135 --> 00:40:31.715
But look at this.

00:40:32.576 --> 00:40:34.937
Look at these NFL picks right here.

00:40:35.618 --> 00:40:37.439
Where are they actually ranked NFL?

00:40:37.499 --> 00:40:38.159
Oh, look at that.

00:40:38.399 --> 00:40:39.540
10 and two here.

00:40:39.580 --> 00:40:40.881
Let me zoom out so we can see.

00:40:43.803 --> 00:40:45.244
Number one in the NFL.

00:40:45.524 --> 00:40:46.444
Whoo.

00:40:48.265 --> 00:40:49.686
You gotta eat a badge for that.

00:40:49.826 --> 00:40:50.147
Yes.

00:40:50.207 --> 00:40:52.168
Top ranked NFL podcast.

00:40:53.949 --> 00:40:54.809
Congratulations.

00:40:54.829 --> 00:40:55.730
Tarp Sports.

00:40:57.002 --> 00:41:09.913
Small small sample size only 12 Decisions in and you have to meet a 10 decision minimal threshold to be ranked So once they cross 10 they can be ranked.

00:41:10.233 --> 00:41:20.002
Nobody's bidding a 3.3% Look at this just wins across the board wins across the board

00:41:26.890 --> 00:41:29.511
So again, major shout outs to these podcasts.

00:41:29.531 --> 00:41:33.173
Hey, I'm shouting out to y'all shout out to me.

00:41:33.413 --> 00:41:38.895
Give me some love for what we're doing here, for what we're doing here.

00:41:40.576 --> 00:41:46.258
As I said, I want to be the official podcast tracking system.

00:41:47.038 --> 00:41:52.140
I want to be the official podcast tracking news reporter.

00:41:55.522 --> 00:41:55.922
We are.

00:41:56.866 --> 00:41:58.626
as far as I'm concerned, we are.

00:42:04.128 --> 00:42:05.729
But that concludes the report here.

00:42:08.949 --> 00:42:09.770
Go check it out.

00:42:11.170 --> 00:42:19.752
You can see all the reports at betcast.com slash reports.

00:42:22.213 --> 00:42:24.834
You can email me, Joe,

00:42:25.442 --> 00:42:27.684
at batcastai.com.

00:42:28.205 --> 00:42:31.688
You can find me on X Joe from Batcast.

00:42:32.749 --> 00:42:33.430
Check me out.

00:42:35.071 --> 00:42:36.853
You can check us out on the YouTube feed.

00:42:39.175 --> 00:42:40.496
Check out the podcast.

00:42:40.776 --> 00:42:41.337
Do whatever.

00:42:43.439 --> 00:42:44.019
But I'm here.

00:42:47.563 --> 00:42:48.223
And that was good.

00:42:48.423 --> 00:42:49.765
That was, that was, that was a doozy.

00:42:50.786 --> 00:42:51.066
You know,

00:42:54.046 --> 00:43:02.549
I really feel as this report will help me as I put together my Sunday buffet abet.

00:43:04.710 --> 00:43:05.811
So again, I appreciate it.

00:43:06.491 --> 00:43:07.531
Appreciate you tuning in.

00:43:08.812 --> 00:43:09.552
And as always.
